Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes: An Empirical - download pdf or read online

By Gagari Chakrabarti, Chitrakalpa Sen

ISBN-10: 813220462X

ISBN-13: 9788132204626

This paintings is an exploration of the worldwide marketplace dynamics, their intrinsic natures, universal traits and dynamic interlinkages throughout the inventory marketplace crises during the last twelve years. The learn isolates varied stages of obstacle and differentiates among any main issue that continues to be restrained to the zone and those who take in a world size. The latent constitution of the worldwide inventory industry, the inter-regional and intra-regional inventory marketplace dynamics round the crises are analyzed to get an entire photo of the constitution of the worldwide inventory marketplace. The research additional probing into the inherent nature of the worldwide inventory industry in producing situation reveals the worldwide industry to be chaotic hence making the approach intrinsically risky or at most sensible to keep on with knife-edge balance. The findings have major bearing at theoretical point and on coverage decisions.

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Germany, Austria, France, UK, and NASDAQ reached their break dates on 5 December 2008. Stockholm, Taiwan the US market (namely, DJ30) also attained their respective break dates in December 2008. Thus, the break dates during 2008 are once again global. Some regional pattern and some lead-lag movements (if not simultaneous) could be easily traced in the global market. Some lead-lag and even simultaneous movements are once again visible during 2009. Markets passed through different volatility regimes during a period from March 2009 to November 2009.

The first stock market cycle was not the ‘global’ in true sense as it affected only a limited number of markets. The market was dominated by a single trend where the European and the American markets remained the significant players. These markets were capable of explaining 28% of the total market variability. The second cycle however was truly global in nature. The latent structure during this period has been quite different from the first one. The second phase is characterized by three distinct structures.

J Bus Econ Stat 10:301–320 Sansó A, Aragó V, Carrion-i-Silvestre JLl (2004) Testing for changes in the unconditional variance of financial time series. Revista Econ Financiera 4:32–53 Schaller H, Norden SV (1997) Regime switching in stock market returns. Appl Finan Econ 7(2):177-191 Tsay RS (1988) Outliers, level shifts and variance changes in time series. J Forecast 7:1–20 Valentinyi-Endrész M (2004) Structural breaks and financial risk management. MNB Working Papers 2004/11, Magyar Nemzeti Bank, The Central Bank of Hungary.

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Anatomy of Global Stock Market Crashes: An Empirical Analysis by Gagari Chakrabarti, Chitrakalpa Sen

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